LIST OF PREDICTED RISKS BASED ON NON-MILITARY THREATS IN SEA AREAS IN THE CONTEXT OF A PEACETIME CRISIS | Security Forum
Published : 18-03-2026

LIST OF PREDICTED RISKS BASED ON NON-MILITARY THREATS IN SEA AREAS IN THE CONTEXT OF A PEACETIME CRISIS

Abstract

The paper addresses the possibility of non-military threats occurring in sea areas
and assessing their trend. The paper unequivocally indicates that in peaceful conditions
of maritime operations, the risk of crisis situation occurrence is highly probable
and may even increase in the future. Therefore, a brief review of events and the
current safety situation in sea areas was first carried out. Based on already defined
phenomena, a trend, and a catalog of predicted risks of a non-military character in
the sea regions were developed.
The final effect of the paper will be to indicate the trend of current non-military
threats, define a catalog of anticipated risks in the sea areas, and indicate areas of
particular sensitivity, i.e., what to put the most significant emphasis on to prepare
for the occurrence of a given risk and what are the possibilities of reducing it to an
acceptable level or even reversing the trend of increasing threats.

Keywords:

non-military threats, safety, maritime safety, crisis situation in sea areas, risk management



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Mrozowska, Alicja. “LIST OF PREDICTED RISKS BASED ON NON-MILITARY THREATS IN SEA AREAS IN THE CONTEXT OF A PEACETIME CRISIS”. Security Forum, vol. 7, no. 1, Mar. 2026, https://ojs.wsb.edu.pl/index.php/sf/article/view/1843.

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