English
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The demographic barriers of economic development in Poland, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan by 2035 – the comparative analysis
Paweł Jaskuła
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of demographic tendencies on the long-term economic development in selected former-Soviet republics (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan) and Poland by 2035. In light of the constant increase in the population in Central Asian countries, their sustainable growth seems to be stable in the following decades. However, the forecasts either for Azerbaijan or Poland are far less propitious. Therefore, it is necessary to study the last reforms of the pension scheme and compare their efficiency to the systems that have already been established in Kazakhstan or are in an ongoing stadium in Uzbekistan. Hence, the in-depth analyses of all chosen countries, either from demographic or economic perspectives, should answer whether the aging population may harm their long-term development in the assumed timeline.
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